Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 275.996980 311.912541 351.848649 399.749093 455.904409 519.969307 599.042951
2025-06-01 221.245154 267.845243 324.295868 398.506981 494.680506 616.757102 786.129042
2025-06-08 188.704361 238.406640 301.945694 390.576939 513.363624 681.079308 934.006844
2025-06-15 168.534785 220.366546 289.593974 391.028664 539.729937 756.193826 1107.887525
2025-06-22 150.169654 201.802471 273.233318 382.186003 549.597892 806.824452 1252.735447
2025-06-29 137.600041 189.508205 263.638940 380.948217 569.262812 873.803090 1435.983728
2025-07-06 123.313734 173.134217 246.089731 364.981267 562.715010 896.235956 1545.276567
2025-07-13 118.646231 170.330242 248.253264 379.704955 607.753074 1012.525096 1853.348753
2025-07-20 114.878065 168.407581 251.369109 396.028315 657.489910 1145.546899 2228.559635
2025-07-27 108.644171 162.019807 246.641341 398.313317 682.085682 1235.140653 2535.383643
2025-08-03 100.862950 152.499150 235.875698 388.703404 682.883764 1277.230093 2744.887318
2025-08-10 94.203842 144.278638 226.538733 380.558296 685.210702 1322.547421 2974.403830
2025-08-17 91.302151 142.181829 227.652809 392.197140 729.596128 1469.223248 3517.458034
2025-08-24 86.523692 136.572049 222.191243 390.833109 747.139231 1559.637994 3941.881355
2025-08-31 81.268817 129.745220 213.962174 383.106076 749.793047 1615.193803 4284.458794
2025-09-07 77.663087 125.524179 210.074257 383.545374 770.454515 1719.325152 4819.946496
2025-09-14 73.147739 119.384802 202.159170 374.909587 769.156189 1766.838176 5187.397230
2025-09-21 69.966697 115.428366 198.021242 373.700623 785.101251 1863.969817 5774.222909
2025-09-28 65.267145 108.429376 187.599027 358.103857 764.226340 1854.817892 5958.934571
2025-10-05 64.462874 108.532082 190.863606 372.486315 819.636626 2077.858973 7184.216671
2025-10-12 63.827642 108.894687 194.645041 388.427895 881.821054 2338.807056 8744.925880
2025-10-19 61.757608 106.402007 192.512398 390.659169 908.163185 2494.051243 9920.773303
2025-10-26 58.658559 101.757388 185.682665 381.274748 901.405610 2538.252652 10564.872823